May 17th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Happy Friday! What a difference from Monday morning. Beans are weaker on trade war shadows and the prospect for additional acres. More rain in the forecast pushing corn as December corn hit $4.00 overnight. Corn is set to post its biggest one week gain since 2015. Corn is up 7.7% in just four days. It’s closed higher every day this week.

Can’t get corn planted or concerned about lower yield – do you go to beans or prevent plant? Too late for beans – prevent plant? Prevent plant dates will be here soon.

There’s been some reported comments from China saying if the US didn’t show sincerity in resolving the dispute or take concrete action, there wasn’t any reason for the US to go to China for further discussions.

Have a great and safe weekend!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 7 ½ carry.
Soybeans: 12 ½ carry.

May 16th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Good morning! Prices are higher this morning as fund short covering continues and wet weather in the U.S. continue to slow field work. The Chinese are preparing to travel to the U.S. for consultations on trade. Few details are being given on negotiations. Talk of more farm aid in the works due to the trade war. Details remain cloudy. I will keep you posted. Weather patterns remain wet into next week. Early estimates for corn planning on Monday are 42-46% complete. Have a great and safe day!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 8 ¾ carry.
Soybeans: 12 ¾ carry.

May 15th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Good Morning! July corn is up 17¢ so far this week! Corn, wheat and soybeans are trading higher this morning as planting delays continue in many areas and fund short covering. Yesterday’s rally in beans was the largest 1-day upswing since July 6, 2018.

Wet weather returns this weekend and will be around next week to limit planting progress. It’s all about the weather.

Nothing better or worse to report on Chinese trade situation. IF, a big if, farmers get a payment from the government this year – will it be on production or insurance bushels? If it’s on production, will this change growers planting intentions, i.e. don’t take prevent plant even though it makes sense on paper right now?

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 8 carry.
Soybeans: 12 ½ carry.

May 14th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

It’s a beautiful morning and markets are higher across the board! U.S. planting delays combined with a decent technical close on Monday caused markets to rally sharply overnight. Maybe it’s time to put some weather premium back in the markets.

Interesting note: usually we have 54 million corn acres planted by this date. This year we have 27.8 million planted acres based on the 92.8 million acre intentions. More talk about prevent plant acres increasing.

Rains return to the western Corn Belt Friday, eastern belt has chances of rain in 5 of the next 10 days. Overall, it stays cool after a couple of warm days this week. Have a great day and stay safe as planting picks up!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 8 ½ carry.
Soybeans: 12 ¾ carry.

May 13th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Good morning! Corn, wheat and soybean markets continue to drift lower as planting progresses and the trade war continue to pressure prices. Large U.S. and world supplies are also seen as negative. Ag Sec. Perdue said he’s working on a plan to help farmers that he hopes to give to the President within a few day to a couple of weeks. Dry weather is in the forecast for most of the Corn Belt this week with wetter weather next week. Good progress was being made in the north, but it may still be 1-2 days before the central Midwest goes strong. Have a great day!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 9 ½ carry.
Soybeans: 12 ½ carry.

May 10th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Happy Friday! Corn and soybean markets are lower this morning. Yep, the tariff increase went into effect, no surprise there. Tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods will go from 10% to 25% on goods shipped from today forward. The US is also prepared to put 25% tariffs on another $325 billion worth of goods. 

Drier weather is in the forecast for next week, but when will the farmer be able to get back into the field after this week’s rain? In a lot of places it won’t be until the middle of next week.

It’s tariffs, weather, and WASDE report trading today. Be careful in trying to pick a side. Most attitudes are negative, but tweets and headlines can change things quickly.

Have a great and safe weekend!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 8 ½ carry.
Soybeans: 12 ½ carry.

May 9th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Good morning! Corn, wheat and soybeans are lower ahead of weekly export sales. Wet weather across the Midwest is not getting any traction with the markets. Temps remain cool everywhere. Planters are rolling where they can, but you have to look for those areas. Areas that got something planted may be looking at replant due to excessive rain. The fear of a continuing trade war with China has the markets on the ropes. Friday is the May WASDE report at 11:00 am CT. Have a great day!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 8 carry.
Soybeans: 12 ¼ carry.

May 8th, 2019 Commentary by Ashton

Good morning! Two-sided trade overnight was seen across the board, but gains have given way to losses in corn and wheat into the break. Beans were hanging onto small gains at the break. Eyes are on the weather and what will happen when China comes to town. Rains in the Midwest today which will once again slow/stop planting. Next week is expected to clear up but it will stay cool.  Feels like traders will be expecting big corn planting next week. Have a great day!

July/Sept Spreads:
Corn: 7 ½ carry.
Soybeans: 12 carry.

May 7th, 2019 Grain Commentary by Christy

Pres. Trumps twitter remarks from Sunday evening had the market on edge or possibly pushed over the edge, we traded both sides of the market last night in an attempt for recovery. Basically China had back tracked on specific commitments in trade talks which Trump saw as “unacceptable.” The US and China were both hopeful for a deal by this Friday. Which currently it is unconfirmed that China Vice Chairman is still coming to DC to talk. We are currently up 5c on beans!! and almost 2 on corn. WASDE report out this Friday… y-ay.

Progress report came out at 3 yesterday:

Corn planting 23% complete vs. 46% avg. and 36% last year and 25% expected

Corn emergence 6% vs. 13% avg. and 7% last year

Soybean planting 6% complete vs. 14% avg. and 14% last year and 8% expected

Winter wheat 64% good/excellent, unchanged from last week and as expected, best shape since 2010

Winter wheat headed 29% vs. 41% avg. and 31% last year

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